Today's posting is a summary of the movement I'm seeing in the US Senate polls, starting in the Northeast:
- The race for Connecticut is for the Democrats to lose, but it has narrowed from a 23-point lead in June for Attorney General Richard Blumenthal to a 9-point contest against GOP businesswoman Linda McMahon. Most importantly, Blumenthal’s poll numbers have fallen out of the 50 percent “safe” zone for the first time since May. Since no polls have been taken in the state in two weeks, it will be very interesting to discover the latest direction of this traditionally Blue State.
- Now that Vermont's primary is over, it is fairly certain that the state will stay firmly in the hands of the Democrats. Incumbent Patrick Leahy is ahead of store owner Len Britton by a margin most other Democratic candidates can only dream of, 64-29.
- In Missouri, GOP Congressman Roy Blunt is pulling away from Democratic Secretary of State Robin Carnahan, 51-42. The latest Rasmussen poll has Blunt ahead by 13 points (54-41). If he stays on his present course, Blunt could extend his lead by as much as another 5-10 points.
- In Arkansas, sentiment against the ever-increasing liberal voting record of Blanche Lincoln has given GOP challenger and Congressman John Boozman a 25-40 percent edge since January. As Real Clear Politics notes, Sen. Lincoln may become the first incumbent to get less than 35 percent of the November re-election vote.
- If states are included where one candidate has at least at five-point lead, the Democrats’ seat number increases to three (CT+9), while the Republican count rises to 13 (GA+7, KY+5, MO+9, NC+9).
We should know a little more by the middle of next week, when West Virginia’s primary is concluded (August 28) and a clearer picture of which GOP candidate has won in Alaska’s primary.
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