First Look at the U.S. House of Representatives

Without going into too much detail yet (I have yet to finish collecting my data), I will parrot what Real Clear Politics (RCP) is predicting regarding the fight for the U.S. House of Representatives. 

1. Of the 535 seats in the House, 255 are held by Democrats, giving them a 37 seat majority.  The GOP holds 178 seats, and two are vacant. 
2. If you accept RCP's predictions, the Dems have 149 "safe" seats, while the GOP has 164.  If you add the seats that are "likely" (11-20 point advantage) or are "leaning" (5-10 point advantage) toward either party, the numbers adjust to 202-201, respectively. 
3. A closer look at the "leans" and "likely" seats shows that the Democrats will probably pick up three seats currently held by Republicans, but the GOP will likely pick up 26 that are in Democrat hands, for a net GOP gain of 23 seats. 
4. Thirty-two seats are too close to call.  Of these, 31 are currently held by Democrats.  Looking at averages of the polls for these seats across 5 different polling groups, 17 of these seats kind of, sort of lean toward the Democrats (perhaps because they are currently held by Democrats).  None of the other seats is clear.   
5. If these numbers hold up, the Democrats keep their majority (at least 219 seats) in the House.  But, with three months to go before the election, much can change.