This election year is a big one for governorships, with 37 of them up for grabs. Of the 13 seats that are not up for re-election, Democrats have seven, while the Republicans have six.
1. Of the 37 seats that are contested this year, 19 are currently held by Democrats, the Republicans hold 17, and one (Rhode Island) is held by an Independent.
2. As of August 23, nine states have yet to finalize their candidates. Three states (AK, FL, and VT) will make their final picks tomorrow, and the remainder will make their choices on either September 14 or September 18.
3. Of the races where candidates for both parties--or in the cases of CO, FL, ME, MA, MN, and RI, three parties--GOP candidates currently have safe leads (10 points or more) in 16 states:
AL+24 IL+13 NE+53 SD+32
AZ+20 IA+13 NV+13 TN+23
AR+14 KS+33 OK+14 UT+27
ID+17 MI+16 SC+32 WY+34
Democrats, on the other hand, have similar leads in only three states (CT+15, MN+11, RI+18).
4. If races are included where one side has a lead of 5 points or more, GOP governorships increase to 19 (GA+7, ME+8, PA+9, TX+9), while the Democrats pick up Massachusetts (+7).
5. Another interesting point: While 14 of the 15 races that are safely trending towards the Republicans have the GOP at 50 percent or more, none of the Democratic races has a candidate who is polling at 50 percent or better. The closest to this goal is CT, where Stamford mayor Dan Malloy has consistently outpolled former ambassador to Ireland, Tom Foley, 47-32.
6. If trends continue at their present pace, the GOP stands to pick up at least 13 governorships, while the Democrats will get 4 that were previously held by Republicans. These do not include the nine states that have yet to choose their final candidates.
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